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CS · 05

Nutrafol × AYMI

Compounding subscription revenue by rebuilding the retention surface, not by spending more on acquisition.

01Challenge

The brief beneath the brief.

Nutrafol's acquisition machine was working. New-subscriber growth was healthy. But cohort retention — the metric that turns a subscription business into a compounding one — was leaking somewhere between month two and month four, the window before efficacy results become visible to the customer.

Pouring more spend at the top wasn't the answer. The brief was to find and seal the leaks across product education, lifecycle communication, and offer architecture — and prove it in cohort retention curves, not vanity metrics.

02Approach

The Method, applied.

Five movements: Discovery, Strategy, Creative, Launch, Optimize. Each one feeds the next; the loop closes on Optimize and starts again on Discovery.

  1. Step 01Discovery

    Cohort-level retention diagnostic across the full subscription history. Identified two leak points — early-window doubt and mid-window plateau — neither addressed by existing comms.

  2. Step 02Strategy

    Retention plan organized around the customer's journey to “first felt result” — not around marketing's calendar.

  3. Step 03Creative

    Lifecycle redesign: progress check-ins, science-backed education modules, dermatologist testimonial set. Editorial wellness register, not promotional.

  4. Step 04Launch

    New lifecycle program rolled out across cohort segments. Concurrent paid retention layer (suppression on cancelers, conditional offers on at-risk cohorts).

  5. Step 05Optimize

    Cohort-curve reviews monthly. Lifecycle modules iterated as the early-window leak began to close.

03Outcome

What the numbers carried.

Recurring revenue grew over the engagement almost entirely from retention, not from a new-subscriber surge. Subscribers stayed through the early-window doubt that used to lose them. Marketing returns improved as the spend mix tilted toward retention, each cohort became more valuable over its lifetime, and month-three cancellations eased.

Nutrafol's growth model now plans retention as a primary spend surface, not a downstream consequence.

Services rendered

Related work

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Industry context

Acquisition, retention, and creative as one system — so the second purchase is won in the ad, not just the email.

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